I have two very competing hypotheses for where we're headed with AI:
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Working with agent orchestration (not chatbots) will be equivalent to working with docs/sheets/etc.
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End users will still want tools tailored exactly to their use cases, so agent orchestration stays a background product for power users.
If all agents are fundamentally coding agents (and that seems like a likely outcome), then 1 is true.
In that scenario, consumer products are a dead end.
But if the coding agent abstraction is not right for most users, and tools are higher-level abstractions, then the doom is uncalled for.